Vision for the capital region of the future — green mobility


In the work on the vision for the capital region of the future and the strategy for mobility services, Ruter has used a scenario method.Through analyses of trends and developments, four scenarios have been identified that provide different frameworks for the development of mobility services.


Coordination of mobility modes and interaction between private and public sector

In the work on developing scenarios, Ruter has assumed that digitalisation, urbanisation, individualisation and sustainability trends are highly likely to impact the future. Two issues that Ruter believes to be very significant but that are more uncertain are 1) the degree of system integration and 2) public intervention.

2.2 Four scenarios for the future

"State of the art" mobility• Market driven development of mobility solutions• High degree of system integration Private initiatives drive the development of integrated mobility solutions, determined by market demand. The service offering is rapidly adjusted based on market needs and profitability, and the Oslo-area becomes a priority market for innovative mobility actors. Individual mobility needs are provided for, especially in densely populated areas.Seamless mobility for all• Planning driven and public sector controlled development of mobility solutions• High degree of system integrationInitiative governed by public sector make for holistic mobility solutions and sustainable work and living environments. Long term and holistic thinking contribute to a sustainable region, while the needs of society, the business sector and citizens are provdided for.Freedom of choice and bespoke solutions• Market driven development of mobility solutions• Low degree of market integration Individual actors are free to drive innovation, the pace is high, and many exciting initiatives respond to the various expectations and needs of the citizens. Free competition attracts a range of innovation actors to the region, and citizens have great freedom of choice and flexibility.Safe and predictable services• Planning driven and public sector controlled development of mobility solutions• Low degree of system integrationThe public sector drives the development of different mobility solutions. Long term and rational plans are adopted and implemented, and good solutions that benefit society, the business sector, and citizens are provided in different sectors.HIGH DEGREE OF SYSTEM INTEGRATIONLOW DEGREE OF SYSTEM INTEGRATIONPLANNING DRIVENMARKET DRIVEN
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2.2 Four scenarios for the future, vision marked.
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System integration is about creating a system that delivers integrated, green mobility services to residents.The integration concerns public transport services, information, ticketing systems, fares, digital services and other green mobility modes, such as walking, cycling, and car and bicycle sharing initiatives.

This is a development that Ruter, along with others, can influene to a great extent. A coordinated and flexible service will lead to higher market shares for green mobility. Great faith in the significance of system integration is based on trends and experiences from other big cities. Ruter thus builds important parts of the strategy on a development in a direction of more integrated mobility solutions.

Public sector intervention is about the relationship between stronger public intervention in some areas (planning) and the room for manoeuvre that private actors have to drive developments in other areas.

This is an area where politics sometimes fluctuate but the trend is towards more interaction between publicly governed processes and the facilitation for private initiatives.

A clear and effective planned steering of developments will always be important for land use planning, while for instance the development and operation of digital solutions can be market based to a greater extent.

Ruter assumes that in the future too there will be different degrees of public involvement in the development of the region and the mobility services, while at the same time new private solutions and service providers can be expected in areas that today are primarily handled by the public sector.

In sum, Ruter’s vision and strategy are based on a picture of the future that is characterised by a high system integration of mobility services and an interaction between market driven and planning driven developments of land use and mobility services.


The vision: Sustainable and flexible – where you want when you want

Ruter’s vision is to enhance the capital region as an attractive metropolitan area. In 2060, the region has nearly 1.7 million residents. The population growth has generally taken place in Oslo and six nearby regional cities in Akershus as well as in the closest urban regions in Buskerud and Østfold.

The air is clean and the region has attractive jobs, residential areas and leisure activities that can all be found within short distances of each other. Travelling is easy, safe and environmentally friendly, and residents get to their destinations quickly. Travellers experience the mobility network as seamless: they can easily find their way, the different services are well integrated and there are good transport hubs for efficient transfers.

The region has a network of different mobility solutions that provide high frequencies, short journey times and good capacity in all important directions of travel. Shared mobility solutions mean that people choose combinations that utilise the competitive advantages of the different solutions.

Oslo is internationally renowned as the “walking city”, in the same way that Copenhagen still remains the cycling city above all others. Good and safe walking areas contribute to the enjoyment of the urban environment while you are on your way to work, to the theatre, to friends or to the gym. The other cities in the capital region have undergone the same development. The overall mobility service consists of a highly coordinated system with different solutions adapted to markets and geographic areas within the region. Public transport is the cornerstone of the network and handles the heaviest traffic volumes.

Parking is facilitated primarily for bicycles and goods deliveries. It is primarily in areas outside of the dense urban centres that the car plays a part in residents’ travel chains. Cars will be predominantly electric.

The backbone of the regional transport service consists of modern, energy-efficient trains that link the region together through a high capacity and high frequency service. New train services through the capital provide capacity and efficient flow of public transport also for those who are criss-crossing the region. Increased capacity on new lines for the metro in Oslo contribute to higher frequencies and a fast and efficient service for the many people who travel towards and through Oslo.

On the surface, the network in the city centre consists of a modern tram network, supplemented by fossil fuel free, generally electricly powered, city buses. Outside of the city centre and in the largest regional cities, buses and modern light rail provide fast and comfortable transport at the desired capacity.

RuterFlex is a transport-on-demand service for cars or minibuses that complements the ordinary public transport service.

In the future, transport is largely automated, but often staffed by service personnel. Already in 2020, the last fossil fuel run bus was taken out of service. Means of transport are increasingly becoming electric, including buses, boats and bicycles. The boat is an efficient link on the fjord and enhances the capital region’s blue and green urban landscape.

Travellers find that the mobility network gives them great freedom of choice. They can easily and simply find the best itinerary and means of travel based on their personal preferences, such as travel time, comfort, need to work on the way, fare, or environmental footprint. The digital services allow travellers to plan and pay for their journeys easily and safely. Travel planning can take place automatically based on individual preferences. Customers can focus on what they want to spend time on during the journey, rather than on planning the actual journey. This seamless network, with well-integrated mobility services, has made the capital region the most attractive and sustainable urban region in Europe.

2.3 Everyday travel in the future – flexible, efficient and simple
Appointments08:00-----------12:15------- News Itinerary Walking Cycling Bus Metro Tram RuterFlex Appointments17:00-----------18:30------- News Itinerary Walking Cycling Bus Metro Tram RuterFlex The alarm clock wakes me up at eight. This is fifteen minutes earlier than usual, because my digital assistant received news during the night that the tunnel on my way to work is closed. The meeting with my manager took longer than expected. If I leave using the planned itinerary, I will be ten minutes late for pick-up at the kindergarten. The assistant suggests an alternativ solution combining metro and bus. Then I will arrive at the kindergarten five minutes before closing time. During dinner I receive a reminder that RuterFlex is picking up my son and the rest of the football team to take them to practice. I see that there is a vacant seat and a possibility for me to come along.
The illustration shows a regular day in the future and how a journey without a private car may take place. It is flexible, efficient and simple. The development of a digital mobility assistant is important for a number of integrated mobility services.
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